Early on June 17th local time, North Korea explosively demolished the Gaeseong inter-Korean joint contact point building, It announced that it would relocate its military units to the monitoring posts in the mountains.

In fact, it can be said to be the destruction of the 9/19 military agreement, which was born as a result of two inter-Korean summits in 2018.

Cheongwadae (the residence of the head of state), the Ministry of National Defense, and the Ministry of Unification responded immediately in strong tone. The chief of the National Communications Office of the Cheongwadae, Yoon Do-han, warned that, “The recent series of actions by the North has not been helpful to the North, and the consequences of all this has to be entirely the responsibility of the North.”

At this point in time, North Korea predicted such behaviour and deteriorated the inter-Korean relations with experts.

Moon Jae-in government pressure

Jeong Young-tae, chair professor of Dongyang University, was quoted in BBC Korea saying that the North Korean provocation was “to pressure the Moon Jae-in government.”

“For the North, the military agreement doesn’t mean much. It’s just a piece of paper that they don’t need,” he said. “The North Korean flyers are just a trigger, and eventually the Moon Jae-in government pushes them to move as they want.” said.

Then, what does North Korea want? Professor Jung said, “It is breaking the ROK-US alliance.”

“The goal is for the progressive government to adopt an anti-American policy to break the alliance,” he said. It is unthinkable to break the ROK-US alliance with the Korean people, but he said, “North Korea has not taken this as an impossible thing.”

Doo-yeon Kim, senior researcher at the International Crisis Group (ICG), also wrote on Twitter that it was oppressing Korea . “North Korea is threatening and coercing South Korea to stop leaflet spraying and US-ROK military training and to help the United States ease sanctions against North Korea,” he said.

Next, “Why then? Because South Korea has already promised this. At the 2018 Panmunjom Summit, the leaders of the two countries met and promised not to do any hostile acts against each other anywhere in the sky, sea, or land. North Korea promised to South Korea. “We are telling you to fulfill this.”

What North Korea wants is cash

Prof. Andrei Lankov, Kookmin University, said that what North Korea eventually wants is money. “What North Korea wants is not the symbolic exchange and cultural exchange currently being offered by the Korean government, but the transfer of capital.”

“President Moon Jae-in wants to interact with North Korea, but eventually wants to do it in a way that the US doesn’t like. But it’s a game and a game that is worthless to North Korea,” said Professor Lankov.

He cited as an example the strengthening of green cooperation between Northeast Asia and the North and South in the field of fine dust and forests presented by the Moon Jae-in government. Together, they violate the United Nations sanctions against North Korea and provoke a negative reaction from the United States.”

North Korea’s position has been waiting since 2018, but there has been no progress. No. The goal is to teach them that they can also make them sleeplessly and sleeplessly.”

Chung Bak (Korean name Park Jung-hyun), who recently published’Non-coming Kim Jong-un’, also saw the economic aspect of the Brookings Research Institute.

Kim Jong-un said, “The economic policy proposed by the North Korean leader of state affairs was not successful, and emphasized ideology, emphasized bloodline, and said, “It is threatening military action and threats . ”

He continued, “The North Korean economy is tumultuous and the people are suffering, drawing attention to external ‘hostile forces’ and leading nationalism.” In this regard, he said, “these statements will continue.”

Covid-19 also influences the point of view

Prof. Young-Tae Chung evaluated that the new Coronavirus Infectious Disease (Corona19) affected BBC North Korea’s provocation period. It is an interpretation that there will be a hidden intention to turn the gaze to the’external enemy’ in the midst of confusion even as the spread continues inside North Korea.

Prof. Jeong explained, “Anyway, even inside North Korea, the spread of Corona 19 will cause internal solidarity and dissatisfaction.”

North Korean experts Lee Min-young also said, “Domestic, whatever the reason, it seems to be a chance to promote the unity of the people and strengthen loyalty to Kim Jong-un.” , Seems to be making an opportunity to complete.”

Prof. Lankov and Corona19 also seemed to have influenced North Korea’s’point of view’ to some extent. He said, “Prior to North Korea, I waited for South Korea to persuade the United States to alleviate sanctions against North Korea. But when I came now, I realized that the expectation was groundless.” But it is possible to hypothesize that Covid-19 could be another reason I saw.

“I chose now, not March or April, when world politics is paralyzed in March and April, and now, as all the news was about Covid-19, the movement of world politics is being revived. At this point, It could be considered as creating an issue.”

No military provocations

On the other hand, the dominant opinion is that North Korea’s hidden intentions will not be a military provocation to the extent that the ROK military must retaliate.

North Korean experts, Lee Min-young, who have analyzed the North Korean media for more than 10 years by the US government and others, noticed that they watched North Korea’s ‘rhetoric’  and warned that North Korea decided to take action after seeing the actions of the South Korean government.

The expert said, “It is of course possible to lead to a border area, the West Sea, a military event, or a nuclear test,” but emphasizes the conditionality of investigating some North Korean media. “It suggests that we will not do as much as we warn.” said.

Researcher Doo-yeon Kim also said that the bombing of the inter-Korean contact office destroyed the symbolic place of inter-Korean relations, but it was not enough to provoke South Korea’s military action. He predicted, “North Korea seems likely to do something similar (provocative) in the future, but it will not be enough for South Korea to retaliate militarily.”

The causes of the confrontation between the Asian giants in the Himalayas and how the situation can develop.

India and China , the two most populous nations in the world – with the two largest armies (both nuclear-weapons armed) – have been in conflict for weeks in the Himalayas.

But the crisis escalated on Tuesday, June 16.  The Indian army says three of its soldiers, including a colonel, were killed in hand-to-hand combat with Chinese troops. On Tuesday night in local time, the Indian press reported that the army had lost 20 men and “inflicted 43 casualties on the Chinese.”

China has yet to confirm the death toll and injuries.

They were the first deaths in more than four decades in the border dispute claimed by the two Asian giants.  How did the most recent confrontation come about and what is behind it?

Accumulation of tensions

Tuesday’s clash area is right on the border – called the Royal Control Line or LAC (the acronym in English) – between the two countries in the Galwan valley in Ladakh. This occurs in the disputed region of Kashmir, which is highly militarized and the point of frequent conflicts because of competing territorial claims between India, Pakistan and China. In the Galwan valley, many incidents between Indian and Chinese patrols have been recorded. Since April, the two sides have accumulated tanks, artillery and troops in the vicinity of the valley.

Ground forces are supported by attack helicopters and fighter planes.

In early May, tensions rose after the Indian press said Chinese forces had set up tents, dug trenches and transported heavy equipment several kilometres into what India considered its territory. The move came after India built a road several hundred kilometres to connect a high-altitude airbase that reactivated in 2008. India blamed China for the situation. “During the ongoing process in the Galwan valley, a violent clash took place last night with victims on both sides,” says a statement from the Indian Army.

China, for its part, asked India “not to take unilateral action or create problems”, and China’s Foreign Ministry spokesman, Zhao Lijian, said it was India that crossed the border, “provoking and attacking the Chinese people, resulting in serious physical confrontation between border forces on both sides “.

What is the background to this dispute?

Several factors have led to this confrontation, but competing strategic objectives are at its root.  India and China share a border covering more than 3,440 km and territorial claims along it.  Since the 1950s, China has refused to recognize the borders drawn during the British colonial era. In 1962, this led to a brief and brutal war, which resulted in a humiliating military defeat for India.

Proposals and counterproposals

Since that war, India and China have accused each other of invasion.

India says China is occupying 38,000 km² of its territory – which is in the area where the current confrontation is taking place. China claims the entire state of Arunachal Pradesh, which it calls Southern Tibet.  During the 1962 war, the Chinese army was able to overcome Indian outposts without much resistance.

There are also several other regions where the two countries have different opinions about the location of the border.

The Royal Control Line is poorly demarcated and is located in Ladakh, where there are many rivers, lakes and snow caps – meaning that the line that separates soldiers can change and they often approach the confrontation.

Several rounds of negotiations over the past three decades have failed to resolve border disputes, but have maintained a degree of stability in the region.

Building infrastructure

To support troops stationed on such hostile terrain and without inhabitants, the two sides are building a railway and road infrastructure.  Under Narendra Modi, India has started building dozens of roads along the LAC and is running to meet the December 2022 deadline to complete these projects. One of these roads goes to the Galwan valley, where the current conflict took place.

China has also been building roads and infrastructure in an area strategically important to Beijing, as it connects its Xinjiang Province to western Tibet.

Global power vs. regional power

The Chinese economy is almost five times that of India. China finds itself competing to replace the USA as the dominant world power.

India, on the other hand, holds visions of a multipolar world order, where it hopes to play a significant role. Indian politicians and analysts sometimes speak as if India and China are equal powers, without acknowledging China’s massive advances. In August 2019, India took the controversial decision to end the limited autonomy of Jammu and Kashmir, and reshaped the region’s map – an action that China denounced as hostile. This created the new Ladakh, administered by the federal government, which included Aksai Chin, an area that India claims but controlled by China. The confrontation occurred in that area.

Pakistan Factor

One of the roots of India’s distrust lies in the relationship between China and Pakistan, longtime allies. The Indian government accuses the Chinese of helping Pakistanis obtain nuclear technology and missiles.

The top summit of India’s Hindu nationalist government BJP also talks about the recovery of Pakistan-administered Kashmir.

A strategic route, the Karakoram Highway, passes through this area that connects China to Pakistan. Beijing has invested around US $ 60 billion (US $ 314 billion) in Pakistan’s infrastructure – the so-called China Economic Corridor in Pakistan (CPEC, for its acronym in English) – as part of its Belt and Road Initiative, and the highway is the key to transporting goods to and from the port of Gwadar in southern Pakistan. The port gives China a foothold in the Arabian Sea.

India fears that in the near future Gwadar will be used to support Chinese naval operations in the Arabian Sea.

Tibet issue

For its part, China suspects the relationship between the Indian government and the Tibetan leader, Dalai Lama. The spiritual leader fled to India after the failed uprising in 1959 in Tibet.

India refused to recognize the Tibetan government in exile, but its leader was among the guests during Prime Minister Modi’s inauguration ceremony in 2014.

China does not take India’s geopolitical aspirations seriously and sees it as a country that could collaborate with its traditional rivals like the USA, Japan and Australia.

India has also changed the rules to ban Chinese companies from taking control of broken Indian companies due to the losses caused by the pandemic.

But China remains India’s second largest trading partner – as with most countries, China enjoys a huge trade surplus with India.

Negotiations

In the recent past, border patrols from both armies have clashed hundreds of times each year.

In 2013 and 2017, this led to serious impasses that ended after weeks of political and diplomatic maneuvering.

After the last standoff in 2017, Modi and Chinese President Xi Jjinping held two informal summits to resolve their differences.

India and China are holding talks to defuse the situation – military officials met on June 6 and again on Tuesday after the incident.

The most recent meeting was held at patrol point 14 in Galwan, close to where the deaths occurred.

This confrontation will undoubtedly increase the mistrust between the two nations, which may require political intervention between the summits to prevent the situation from getting out of control.

Sed ut perspiciatis unde omnis iste natus error sit voluptatem accusantium doloremque laudantium, totam rem aperiam, eaque ipsa quae ab illo inventore veritatis et quasi architecto beatae vitae dicta sunt explicabo.

Neque porro quisquam est, qui dolorem ipsum quia dolor sit amet, consectetur, adipisci velit, sed quia non numquam eius modi tempora incidunt ut labore et dolore magnam aliquam quaerat voluptatem. Ut enim ad minima veniam, quis nostrum exercitationem ullam corporis suscipit laboriosam, nisi ut aliquid ex ea commodi consequatur.

At vero eos et accusamus et iusto odio dignissimos ducimus qui blanditiis praesentium voluptatum deleniti atque corrupti quos dolores et quas molestias excepturi sint occaecati cupiditate non provident, similique sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollitia animi, id est laborum et dolorum fuga.

Quis autem vel eum iure reprehenderit qui in ea voluptate velit esse quam nihil molestiae consequatur, vel illum qui dolorem eum fugiat quo voluptas nulla pariatur.

“Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat”

Temporibus autem quibusdam et aut officiis debitis aut rerum necessitatibus saepe eveniet ut et voluptates repudiandae sint et molestiae non recusandae. Itaque earum rerum hic tenetur a sapiente delectus, ut aut reiciendis voluptatibus maiores alias consequatur aut perferendis doloribus asperiores repellat.

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipisicing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat.

Nemo enim ipsam voluptatem quia voluptas sit aspernatur aut odit aut fugit, sed quia consequuntur magni dolores eos qui ratione voluptatem sequi nesciunt.

Et harum quidem rerum facilis est et expedita distinctio. Nam libero tempore, cum soluta nobis est eligendi optio cumque nihil impedit quo minus id quod maxime placeat facere possimus, omnis voluptas assumenda est, omnis dolor repellendus.

Nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum.